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ISSN 2063-5346
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Seasonal rainfall trend analysis during 1951 – 2020 in Madhya Pradesh, India

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Kamal Singh1* H.L. Tiwari 2, Subodh Kant Pandey 3
» doi: 10.48047/ecb/2023.12.10.164

Abstract

In this study, we investigated the spatial and temporal changes of rainfall using high resolution gridded dataset over Madhya Pradesh. For statistical trend analysis used long term 70 years (1951 - 2020) time series and Mann Kendall test for trend analysis and Sen’s slope estimator for detection of change in magnitude of rainfall. With the help of ‘Pre whitening’ technique remove the serial correlation in time series then applied Modified Mann Kendall test. In our study all the test is done at 5% significance level. The change in magnitude of rainfall found in seasonal basis. For temporal study the time series is divided into pre industrial (1951 - 1985) and post industrial (1986 - 2020) time period and compare the both. For trend analysis we used R studio and two open source packages ‘trend’ and ‘modifiedmk’ and for representation of spatial distribution in maps we used Arc GIS 10.3.1 and also represent significance level of trend.

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